Thoughts From the Frontline, May 2017

The Great Reset, Part Two

May 27, 2017

“Premature optimization is the root of all evil…”

– Donald Knuth, from his 1974 Turing Award lecture

The Great Reset: How Should We Then Invest?

May 22, 2017

“A speculator is one who runs risks of which he is aware, and an investor is one who runs risks of which he is unaware.”
– John Maynard Keynes

“The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist. They assume that something that was a good investment in the recent past is still a good investment. Typically, high past returns simply imply that an asset has become more expensive and is a poorer, not better, investment.”
– Ray Dalio,...

How to Drink from a Firehose

May 14, 2017

Basic economics tells us all resources are scarce, but our demand for them is not. Hence we need methods to allocate the limited supply of each resource. A significant part of economics is the study of those methods.

Angst in America, Part 7: The Angst of the Millennial Generation

May 7, 2017

“Being young and having no job remains stubbornly common. Wages for young people fortunate enough to get a job have gone down. Inflation-adjusted wages for young high school graduates were 11 percent higher in 2000 than they were more than a decade later, and inflation-adjusted wages of young college graduates (four years only) have fallen by more than 5 percent. Unemployment rates for young college graduates have been running for years now in the neighborhood of 10 percent and underemployment...