Two weeks ago in my "Thoughts from the Frontline" E-letter I wrote about trade imbalances. I quoted a significant portion of a speech by Anatole Kaletsky from GaveKal. It was part of a debate he had with Stephen Roach. Last week's "Outside of the Box" contained some very insightful and timely remarks on the current market conditions by the well known economist Stephen Roach.
The team at GaveKal sent me Roach's side of the debate which addresses Anatole's point of view on the subject of trade imbalances. While I do not want to look like an "All Stephen Roach, All the Time" letter the speech was so good I felt that we should use it this week. I trust that you will find this week's Outside the Box to be a "grand finale" on some of our most recent topics.
Readers know that Paul McCulley of Pimco, and his cohort Bill Gross, are two of my must read economic analysts. Pimco is in Newport Beach California and oversee more than $400 Billion in assets, predominately in fixed income.
Last week my weekly letter called "The Problem with the Endgame" quoted some of Paul McCulley's January 2005 Fed Focus letter. This article was so interesting that I decided to make it this week's Outside the Box. The letter is a little longer than normal, but well worth your attention as it explores what might be in the economic future for the global imbalances, risk taking and the Fed.
This week we look at the comments of one of my favorite analyst groups, the Morgan Stanley Global Economics Team, who's most recognizable member is Stephen Roach. I have been a big fan of Roach over the years and part of last week's commentary was a roundtable discussion by the group between Roach, Stephen Li Jen, Richard Berner, Joachim Fels, Andy Xie, Eric Chaney, David Miles, Riccardo Barbieri, Ted Weiseman and Gray Newman.
This distinguished group debates the dollar, deficit and other global imbalances between the US, Europe and Asia. I found it an interesting and highly insightful look at where the world economies stand today. A group as talented as this one is always able to help you think "Outside the Box."