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Global Macro Update Archive

Too Late for Portfolio Insurance?

April 10, 2025

Too Late for Portfolio Insurance?

There’s no substitute for experience.

Private Equity: Too Big to Fail?

April 3, 2025

Private Equity: Too Big to Fail?

There are plenty of smart people doing good work in private equity, but when self-help guru Tony Robbins is private equity’s new cheerleader, and Blackstone is buying smoothie shops, you have to wonder if things have gone too far.

Ukraine’s Economic Playbook for Defeating Russia

March 27, 2025

Ukraine’s Economic Playbook for Defeating Russia

Modern history is rife with examples of wars that grind on needlessly, only to end with no clear winner.

Inflation Is Over

March 13, 2025

Inflation Is Over

Last week I asked you to reconsider the prevailing narrative that tariffs are inflationary

How Tariffs Could Push Prices Down

March 6, 2025

How Tariffs Could Push Prices Down

The tariff situation is evolving fast.

Another Pandemic?

February 27, 2025

Another Pandemic?

I don’t even want to think about it—a new virus is gaining traction in the US.

Ending a Catastrophe for Ukraine and Russia

February 20, 2025

Ending a Catastrophe for Ukraine and Russia

George Friedman on Russia, ending the Ukraine War, and Putin’s failure.

These Are the Years of Plenty

February 13, 2025

These Are the Years of Plenty

My friend Jacob Shapiro is back for another Global Macro Update interview, and he sees ample opportunities for investors who can tune out white-noise media and look around.

The China Problem

February 6, 2025

The China Problem

“Conspiracies are hard to implement.”

The Opium War in Reverse

January 30, 2025

The Opium War in Reverse

China has weaponized fentanyl against the United States.

The Quantum Hype Machine

January 16, 2025

The Quantum Hype Machine

Everybody has an opinion about quantum computing lately.

Marc Andreessen on the “Vibe Shift”

January 2, 2025

Marc Andreessen on the “Vibe Shift”

We’re doing something a little different today.

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