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Thoughts from the Frontline

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Random Thoughts from the Frontline
  • February 19, 2021

Random Thoughts from the Frontline

Readers often ask how these letters appear so regularly. The answer is we have a process. Normally, I talk to my associate Patrick Watson on Monday about the next weekend’s letter. We both go into research mode, verbally outlining a letter, and by Thursday I have an outline and some background research. This gives me plenty of time to flesh it out, so to speak.

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Overstimulation Risk
  • February 12, 2021

Overstimulation Risk

Among the many strange, unforeseen changes of the last year is a new respect for Keynesian economic theory. Practically everyone in power now agrees that deficit spending produces GDP growth. They differ only on its expected magnitude and duration. The few exceptions are mostly outside the halls of power.

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Controlling the Curve
  • February 5, 2021

Controlling the Curve

If time is money, then interest rates are the price of time. The most important interest rates in the world are for US Treasury securities. This is why I’ve long said it makes no sense for a committee to set those rates. The markets could do just fine without that help, thank you. But the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee arbitrarily decides the overnight Federal Funds rate. And lately, it doesn’t stop there.

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Inflation and Broken Windows
  • January 29, 2021

Inflation and Broken Windows

I’m often asked if I foresee inflation or deflation. This week we had an “Ask Me Anything” session for Alpha Society members and it came up several times. Both are possible in their own ways, and frankly I feel a little funny telling people I think we will see both. I would just like to have a growing economy and dependable money that holds its value.

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Thoughts from the Frontline explores developments overlooked by mainstream news and analyzes challenges and opportunities on the horizon.

The newsletter began as John’s way of sharing his thoughts with a few associates. Two decades later, it is one of the most widely read investment newsletters in the world. From his warning of an impending recession in 2000, to a polemic on the Obamacare “death spiral” in 2016, John has blazed his own trail as one of the most respected macroeconomic minds in the field.

"Central bankers, businessmen, and investors continually try to beat History to a pulp, but History always wins the final rounds."

John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline, 2001.
Thoughts from the Frontline
Thoughts from the Frontline

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John Mauldin

John Mauldin

Editor, Thoughts from the Frontline

When investors, financial professionals, and discerning citizens need a big-picture view of what's going on in the economy, they turn to John Mauldin.

And for good reason. John has dedicated more than 30 years to keeping people informed about financial risk.

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