Thoughts from the Frontline Archive, May 2025

How We Got Here
  • May 16, 2025

How We Got Here

We are in the middle of the Strategic Investment Conference, a fabulous gathering of some of the best economic, political, and geopolitical minds anywhere. I’m really proud of what we’re doing. And at the last minute, we’ve added Dr. Mehmet Oz, nationally regarded cardiovascular surgeon, author of numerous best-selling books with my friend Dr. Mike Roizen, and now head of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. He will be joined by Dr. Robert Redfield, former CDC director, virologist,...

Read more
Tension in the Sandpile
  • May 9, 2025

Tension in the Sandpile

I’ve been writing about tariffs for a couple of months now, focusing mostly on the macroeconomic harm and the costs they impose on small businesses. Today I want to consider something else: the new risks they are adding to the financial system alongside the old risks. We had a small taste of it when markets convulsed in early April. That episode passed, but I don’t think the risk is gone. Different and potentially worse may be coming, as the disruptions compound.

Read more
Soft Data Gets Softer
  • May 2, 2025

Soft Data Gets Softer

Economic data can be soft or hard. “Soft” data reflects attitudes, expectations, opinions, and feelings. It’s a step removed from the “hard” data reflecting actual events. Soft data is still valuable because future expectations shape the hard data that follows.

Read more
Thoughts from the Frontline

Archive


Interviews with leading experts digging deep on the most urgent stories you need to know about. Get Global Macro Update Interviews with leading experts digging deep on the most urgent stories you need to know about. Get Global Macro Update
×
The Coming Supercycle Crisis

Before you go... Grab a free copy of John Mauldin's The Coming Supercycle Crisis

The Debt Supercycle theory traces the increasing transfer of private debt to government balance sheets, highlighting its implications, the unique constraints of government debt management, and potential future scenarios—including the limits of government borrowing, the role of bond vigilantes, and the risk of a major fiscal crisis if current trends continue.

Get this free report delivered to your inbox when you fill out the form below.

We respect your privacy and will never share your information. Read our privacy policy here. By signing up, you'll also receive John’s free weekly letter, Thoughts from the Frontline and Mauldin Economics marketing messages.