Physicists have a concept called “entropy,” which basically says systems will tend to move from orderly to disorderly over time. Entropy is central to physics, thermodynamics, and other fields of physical science.
Read moreMonetary policy is a balancing act. The Federal Reserve’s “dual mandate” requires it to promote both maximum employment and stable prices. Statutorily, neither is more important than the other. The Fed is supposed to seek both at the same time.
Read moreNo one wants to be a party pooper. It drives away friends and makes you generally unpopular. But if you are a monetary policymaker, ending the party before it gets too wild is quite literally your job.
Read moreWe have no scarcity of economic challenges. Price inflation is high on the list, in part because we saw so little of it for so many years. Inflation’s return in 2021–2022 brought back memories for those (ahem) who lived through the 1970s. And not the pleasant kind. None of our generation wants to see the reruns of That ’70s Show.
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The Debt Supercycle theory traces the increasing transfer of private debt to government balance sheets, highlighting its implications, the unique constraints of government debt management, and potential future scenarios—including the limits of government borrowing, the role of bond vigilantes, and the risk of a major fiscal crisis if current trends continue.
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