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Global Macro Update Archive

Stop Thinking About Emerging Markets as “One Big Blob”

February 13, 2026

Stop Thinking About Emerging Markets as “One Big Blob”

Gavekal CEO Louis Gave is one of my favorite people to speak with on anything related to portfolio construction and the non-US perspective, and I knew our latest conversation about emerging markets (EM) would be anything but conventional.

Forget the Old Narratives: GeoMacro Has Arrived

February 6, 2026

Forget the Old Narratives: GeoMacro Has Arrived

If you’re still attempting to make investment decisions without fully integrating geopolitics into your analysis, you’re operating at a significant disadvantage in today’s markets.

The Order Is Rapidly Fadin’

January 23, 2026

The Order Is Rapidly Fadin’

Every so often, a single word surfaces and cuts through the noise. If you’re like me, you know the noise all too well.

Rethink the Mag 7 with Liz Ann Sonders

January 16, 2026

Rethink the Mag 7 with Liz Ann Sonders

My favorite kind of chart makes you think, “Huh.”

The Fallacy of Composition

January 9, 2026

The Fallacy of Composition

Have you ever thought about the incredible number of assumptions you make every day, subconsciously?

The Fully Invested Bear

December 11, 2025

The Fully Invested Bear

This might just be my favorite interview of the year. I will humbly admit to learning more about technical analysis from my recent conversation with Jeff deGraaf than I had in the previous two years.

You’re Worried About the Wrong AI Problem

December 5, 2025

You’re Worried About the Wrong AI Problem

It seems everyone is thinking about artificial intelligence.

The Bill for ZIRP Is Coming Due

November 26, 2025

The Bill for ZIRP Is Coming Due

If two people you respect recommend the same book to you, do you order it?

Will OpenAI be the Yahoo! of the AI Era?

November 21, 2025

Will OpenAI be the Yahoo! of the AI Era?

The CNN Fear and Greed Index hit “Extreme Fear” territory this week—or what you might call full-blown panic territory.

The New Space Economy Is Here

November 14, 2025

The New Space Economy Is Here

If you’d told me twenty years ago that we’d soon see rockets launching into orbit every day-and-a-half, I’d have smiled politely and changed the subject.

America’s K-Shaped Economy

November 7, 2025

America’s K-Shaped Economy

Your year was either great or awful.

We’re Back to 1997/98?

October 31, 2025

We’re Back to 1997/98?

Everyone is wondering if we’re in another tech bubble.

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