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Global Macro Update Archive

The Order Is Rapidly Fadin’

January 23, 2026

The Order Is Rapidly Fadin’

Every so often, a single word surfaces and cuts through the noise. If you’re like me, you know the noise all too well.

Rethink the Mag 7 with Liz Ann Sonders

January 16, 2026

Rethink the Mag 7 with Liz Ann Sonders

My favorite kind of chart makes you think, “Huh.”

The Fallacy of Composition

January 9, 2026

The Fallacy of Composition

Have you ever thought about the incredible number of assumptions you make every day, subconsciously?

The Fully Invested Bear

December 11, 2025

The Fully Invested Bear

This might just be my favorite interview of the year. I will humbly admit to learning more about technical analysis from my recent conversation with Jeff deGraaf than I had in the previous two years.

You’re Worried About the Wrong AI Problem

December 5, 2025

You’re Worried About the Wrong AI Problem

It seems everyone is thinking about artificial intelligence.

The Bill for ZIRP Is Coming Due

November 26, 2025

The Bill for ZIRP Is Coming Due

If two people you respect recommend the same book to you, do you order it?

Will OpenAI be the Yahoo! of the AI Era?

November 21, 2025

Will OpenAI be the Yahoo! of the AI Era?

The CNN Fear and Greed Index hit “Extreme Fear” territory this week—or what you might call full-blown panic territory.

The New Space Economy Is Here

November 14, 2025

The New Space Economy Is Here

If you’d told me twenty years ago that we’d soon see rockets launching into orbit every day-and-a-half, I’d have smiled politely and changed the subject.

America’s K-Shaped Economy

November 7, 2025

America’s K-Shaped Economy

Your year was either great or awful.

We’re Back to 1997/98?

October 31, 2025

We’re Back to 1997/98?

Everyone is wondering if we’re in another tech bubble.

The Fed’s New Normal: A Jumbo-Sized Balance Sheet

October 24, 2025

The Fed’s New Normal: A Jumbo-Sized Balance Sheet

Many of you are Fed watchers, by nature of your jobs in finance, but the vast majority of Americans know little about the Fed, its role in the economy, or the impact of its balance sheet. Everyone in the latter group, this essay is for you.

The Global Macro Update podcast is back... and we’re starting big

October 20, 2025

The Global Macro Update podcast is back... and we’re starting big

We’re living through an extraordinary time. The global economy, markets, technology, and politics are all shifting at once, bringing both opportunity and risk.

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