From Richard Jackson in the China Business Review (you will have to scroll down): What the demographic trends do suggest is that widespread expectations of continued double-digit growth in China may be unrealistic, even in the near term, and that there are far greater risks to growth and stability in the long term than is generally appreciated. These trends leave room for optimism about China's future, but that optimism must be tempered by a realistic assessment of the significant challenge that lies just over the horizon.