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Thoughts from the Frontline Archive, November 2022

An Interview with Keith Fitz-Gerald
  • November 25, 2022

An Interview with Keith Fitz-Gerald

Last week, I introduced you to my friend of 20+ years, Keith Fitz-Gerald of Keith Fitz-Gerald Research. As I mentioned, I recently signed up for his Morning! 5 With Fitz free research email, and I'm enjoying it immensely.

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Digital Shiny Objects
  • November 18, 2022

Digital Shiny Objects

Financial crises are really about trust. They tend to occur when people lose trust in assets, institutions, or people they had thought trustworthy. Whether the lost trust was a consequence of the crisis, or its cause is a different question. But they do seem to go together.

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Recession Thoughts
  • November 11, 2022

Recession Thoughts

Early this week, with the severe inverted yield curve and other signals flashing recession, I planned to use this letter to delve into the data. Then Thursday’s CPI data convinced markets to blow the all-clear whistle.

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Dangerous Assumptions
  • November 4, 2022

Dangerous Assumptions

Historically speaking, this phase of life we call “retirement” is a new concept. The idea you could stop working at a certain age was unknown until quite recently. People worked as long as they physically could, then died quickly unless they had family or servants to care for them. That was normal and accepted.

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