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Thoughts from the Frontline Archive, September 2021

What Could Go Wrong?
  • September 24, 2021

What Could Go Wrong?

I have written several letters on the theme that the best investment posture is cautious optimism. Pessimism and bearishness never get you in the game, while untamed optimism means that at some point, you’ll have a serious setback. The cautiously optimistic investor asks both, “What could go wrong?” and “What could go right?”

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Inflation: Less Transitory than Expected
  • September 17, 2021

Inflation: Less Transitory than Expected

If the inflation numbers leave you scratching your head, join the club. The August data was especially perplexing. The Producer Price Index came in hot, up 8.3% in the last year, inviting 1970s comparisons. Obviously, our current situation is different in many ways. But so were the 1970s, at first.

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The Return of Stagflation
  • September 10, 2021

The Return of Stagflation

I have been writing this letter for 22 years. Sometimes I look into the future and other times merely try to explain the present. Today I’m going to look at several possible futures. There are forces at work in both Congress and the Federal Reserve that could take us down radically different paths. There are also changes in the Zeitgeist, the way we act and think both in and as a society, that are going to have major impacts.

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Don’t worry about your money! Make the 5 investments Jared Dillian gives you, in The Awesome Portfolio.Don’t worry about your money! Make the 5 investments Jared Dillian gives you, in The Awesome Portfolio.

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