Outside the Box, February 2006


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Over the Rainbow

February 27, 2006

Here is a different view on derivates that can help you with a basic understanding of the problem in the market and a look at gold. This comes from the HCM Market Letter by Michael Lewitt of Harch Capital in Florida.

This is a private letter for his clients and Michael is one smart guy with a deep understanding of the markets, especially the credit markets, and how they work. HCM deals in this world on a daily basis, so they can offer a somewhat inside view of derivatives and...

The Innovation Boom

February 20, 2006

GaveKal released a new book last year called Our Brave New World and it has been the subject of several Thoughts From the Frontline letters. Steven Vannelli, of Gavekal, offers us another look at platform companies and argues that research and development (R&D), or intellectual property, is much more important that capital expenditures, or manufacturing ability. He then shows several examples of US companies that have increased R&D compared to capital expenditures.


Yield Curve Conundrum

February 13, 2006

Every month I read the outstanding commentary by Bill Gross, Paul McCulley and others at PIMCO. This month they have comments by Chris P. Dialynas, Managing Director, Portfolio Manager and Senior Member of PIMCO's Investment Strategy Group.

Dialynas offers his views on the flat yield curve, the new Bernanke era and the theory of a global glut of savings. He sees a global economy awash in liquidity due to the increased risk of investment and the Chinese currency being pegged to...

Contrarians At The Gate

February 6, 2006

This week's letter is from John P. Hussman, Ph.D., President of Hussman Investment Trust. John manages the Hussman Strategic Total Return Fund - HSTRX and the Hussman Strategic Growth Fund - HSGFX and writes his Weekly Market Commentary.

Following are two recent Weekly Market Commentaries that touch on contrarian investing and price movements in the markets. Last week, James Montier told us that to succeed in investing you need to take a contrarian approach, but Hussman says "not...